This paper presents results from a simulation study of the discrepancies introduced into dichotomous outcome effect sizes, for a given “effect” but based upon different measures, when construct validity invariance fails to hold. This research is the first to be done on the variability in dichotomous outcome effect sizes as a function of measures failing to meet construct validity invariance. In this simulation two populations of scores were simulated that were identical except in terms of the proportions of persons experiencing a dichotomous outcome, such as recidivism or recovery from some illness. A number of measures hypothetically used to make inferences about the occurrence or non-occurrence of the outcome of interest were also simulated, some of which met construct validity invariance and some which failed – in different ways and to different degrees - to meet this invariance condition. Several single and multiple population dichotomous outcome effect sizes were then computed based upon the different measures, including the odds; the log-odds; the odds ratio; and the relative risk.
Results showed that there was substantial variability across these effect sizes, which represented the same “effect,” as a function of measurement procedure when construct validity invariance did not hold. The discrepancies in the single population effect sizes, such as the odds, were especially pronounced when the construct validity invariance condition was violated. The implications of these results for variability in the outcomes of a meta-analysis as a function of measurement procedure are considered, as are the implications for the use of meta-analysis as a tool for identifying and justifying evidence based practices.
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