Methods: Data for this study come from five waves of interviews of foster youth in three Midwestern states that were administered over a period of nine years (age 17 - 26) (N=732). The interview instruments contained measures of a number of domains, including perceived social support (MOS social support questionnaire), attachment-related anxiety and avoidance (Experiences in Close Relationships Scale-Revised), and closeness and frequency of contact with biological family. Using mixture growth models (GMM), we attempt to identify distinct social support trajectories across the transition to adulthood. Using the posterior probabilities generated by the GMM, we then examine the interrelationships among social support trajectories and youths' experiences (e.g., maltreatment) and characteristics (e.g., attachment and closeness with biological family).
Results: Results of the GMM models suggest the existence of several distinct social support trajectories that are distinguished from one another by baseline levels of support as well as the valence, magnitude, and monotonicity of change in social support over the transition to adulthood. The rank order of social support trajectories also appears to change dramatically over time. Further, youth experiencing different trajectories differ from one another in other important ways, including substitute care history, attachment-related avoidance, and closeness with relatives. For example, youth who experience a trajectory characterized by a persistent decline in reported social support are found to report the largest decrease in emotional closeness with their biological mothers.
Implications: These findings illustrate the interdependencies among youths' prior experiences, attachment, family relationships, and social support. Collectively, these constructs describe seemingly disparate sets of experiences and outcomes, reflecting substantial underlying heterogeneity within the population of youth served by child welfare systems. An important implication of this heterogeneity is that the eventual outcomes of foster youth may not be readily discernable at the age of emancipation, underscoring the inherent challenges of effectively targeting and supporting youth emancipating from care.