Methods: Longitudinal data were obtained from 618 mothers, youth, and fathers in two-parent rural families who participated in at least three waves of data collection in the PROSPER project (84% White). First, using 4 waves of data across Grade 6-8, growth models were used to derive each person’s scores for three components of change in warmth/ hostility: initial level, developmental trend (rate of change), and lability (intraindividual standard deviation). Second, we used Poisson regression models to examine linear and quadratic relations between lability and youth substance use and delinquency in Grade 9. Third, we used interaction terms to test if youth gender moderated the association between lability and risky behavior. Youth reports of mother and father warmth and hostility were analyzed separately. Control variables included levels and developmental trends in parental warmth/hostility, demographics (dual biological marital status, intervention condition, parent education) and Grade 6 measures of the outcome variables.
Results: Greater lability in mother and father warmth was associated with more substance use and, for girls, more delinquency. The associations between lability in parents’ hostility and polysubstance use demonstrated an inverted U shape pattern such that moderate levels of lability in hostility were associated with greater substance use while low and very high lability in hostility was associated with less substance use. For most of our sample, greater lability in hostility was associated with more substance use. However, for youth with very high lability scores (top 10% of scores) greater lability in hostility was associated with less substance use.
Conclusions and Implications: Lability in mother and father warmth, perhaps indicative of parenting consistency, are unique risk factors for youth substance use and girls’ delinquency, above and beyond overall levels of relationship quality. However, extreme levels of lability in hostility may be protective against substance use. Family-based interventions may consider including components that help parents develop and maintain relationship consistency.