Methods: This study is a secondary data analysis of the 2015 U.S. Transgender Survey (N=26,026). Using multinomial logistic regression models, we examined how TNB persons’ GICE experiences are associated with differing gender identity transition trajectories. Demographic characteristics, age, gender identity, race, education, and employment status were examined as covariates. The average participant was 31 years old. Most participants identified as transgender women (33.0%) and transgender men (28.9%). Further, most identified as White (81.9%), biracial/multiracial (5.6%), or Latinx (5.3%).
Results: Overall, 13.5% of TNB participants experienced GICE during their lifetime. Regarding transitioning status, 38.2% did not transition whereas 53.8% never de-transitioned. Among those who recalibrated their transition, 4.8% did so due to interpersonal pressures, 2.0% due to structural pressures, and .4% due to a genuine shift from a TNB to a cisgender identity. GICE exposure was associated with a 97% increase in the risk of gender recalibration due to interpersonal pressures relative to never de-transitioning (RRR=1.97; p=.001). GICE exposure did not predict the risk of structural pressure-based gender recalibration or gender recalibration due to a shift from a TNB to a cisgender identity relative to never de-transitioning.
Conclusions: Our findings indicate TNB persons exposed to GICE are more likely to have reversed their transition due to interpersonal pressures than to have never de-transitioned, underscoring the potential harm of the practice on transition trajectories of TNB persons. Our findings further highlight that GICE-exposed TNB persons are not more likely to have recognized that they are not truly TNB than to have never de-transitioned. While our findings are not causal, they indicate non-affirming practices such as GICE may play a deleterious role in TNB persons’ transitional decision-making. Alongside giving further credence to conversion effort bans, our findings stress the need for a more nuanced understanding, recognition, and respect for TNB persons’ non-linear transitioning trajectories. Otherwise, we risk vilifying gender-affirming practices and pathologizing adaptive transitioning decisions of TNB persons.