Method: Using Waves 1 through 4 of the Midwest Study, we address three questions. 1) How are young men's characteristics and experiences associated with timing of parenthood? We predict age at first birth using characteristics available at the Wave 1 interview when youth were 17 or 18 (N = 292). We use multinomial logistic regression to compare three groups of young men – those having a first child at age (a) 15 to 17, (b) 18 to 20, and (c) 21 to 23 – to a fourth group of men not having a child by the age of 24. 2) What are the characteristics of fathers who have aged out of care? We compare three groups of fathers including resident fathers, more involved non-resident fathers, and less involved non-resident fathers (N = 121). 3) Which fathers are more likely to be more involved with their children? We use multilevel multinomial regression to predict group membership, comparing resident fathers to less involved non-resident fathers and more involved non-resident fathers. Because fathers may have different levels of involvement with different children we analyze this at the child level, with children nested within fathers (N = 189). We use baseline and contemporaneous measures of fathers' characteristics and experiences.
Results and Implications: About 50% of young men reached age 24 without knowingly fathering a child, whereas 6% of young men fathered a child from ages 15 to 17, another 16% between 18 and 20, and an additional 24% between 21 and 23. Overall, 61% of fathers report having a non-resident child. Young men who are sexually active at age 15 or younger (two-thirds of young men) have a greater risk of having a child by age 17 and by age 20, compared to young men who delay first intercourse to age 16 or higher. Young men are also at greater risk if they were retained in grades one through eight (one-third of young men) and if they report coming from a home where a caregiver had a criminal record (one-third of young men). Individually these characteristics are risk factors; combined they help us identify groups of youth at particularly high risk for early parenthood. Research findings highlight the need for policies that promote healthier transitions to parenthood for young men leaving foster care.