Society for Social Work and Research

Sixteenth Annual Conference Research That Makes A Difference: Advancing Practice and Shaping Public Policy
11-15 January 2012 I Grand Hyatt Washington I Washington, DC

174 Using Longitudinal Person-Centered Analyses to Estimate Intervention Effects In Controlled Trials

Sunday, January 15, 2012: 8:45 AM-10:30 AM
Independence E (Grand Hyatt Washington)
Cluster: Research Design and Measurement
Symposium Organizer:
Mark W. Fraser, PhD, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill
Research that “makes a difference” is often characterized by rigorous design and complex variable-centered analyses that must be described in detail in order to convey findings with precision. Person-centered methods (PCM) provide an alternative way to “tell the story.” PCM are designed to group research participants into similar classes – typically described as risk profiles – and estimate outcomes as changes in class or profile membership. Accordingly, PCM help researchers tell the story in people-centered metrics that are familiar to policymakers and practitioners. PCM can be used to augment variable-centered analyses and to provide new insights about program effects.

This symposium will present advances in longitudinal person-centered analytic methods and provide two PCM applications from intervention research. We propose three paper presentations: (a) an overview of person-centered statistical methods for intervention research, (b) person-centered results from a group-randomized trial of the Youth Matters program; and (c) person-centered results from a cohort sequential trial of the Making Choices program. In the first paper, we will describe cross-sectional and longitudinal PCM, including assumptions, clustering algorithms, fit statistics, parameter estimation (for program effects over time), and available software. To help attendees develop PCM skills, we will share code and tips and discuss challenges and limitations associated with using PCM.

In the second paper, we will demonstrate PCM by reporting outcomes from a group-randomized trial of a school-based program aimed at preventing and reducing bullying and peer victimization among elementary and middle school students. Twenty-eight elementary schools were randomly assigned to Youth Matters (YM) or to a no-treatment control condition (N=876). PCM results indicate that students cluster into four classes characterized as bullies, victims, bully-victims, and uninvolved. YM students transitioned from bully and victim groups to the uninvolved group at significantly higher rates than their control counterparts in 4th - 6th grades. By conveying the complexity of transitional behavioral patterns among subgroups of students, the findings extend previously-reported main effects that were tested using growth modeling techniques.

In paper three, we demonstrate PCM for estimating intervention effects in a cohort sequential trial of the Making Choices (MC) program. MC is a social-cognitive skills training program designed to enhance emotional regulation and social problem-solving skills in elementary school children. Over four years, four cohorts of third-graders were compared. Two cohorts (n=317) received a routine health curriculum, and two cohorts (n=371) received MC plus the routine health curriculum. Data were collected in the fall and spring of each year. A four-class person-centered model was estimated by cohort over time. The findings show that MC reduces problem outcomes for high-risk children while sustaining the low risk status of other children. PCM results show that skills training may disrupt developmental continuities between early and later aggressive behavior.

* noted as presenting author
Overview of Longitudinal Person-Centered Methods In Intervention Research
Aaron Thompson, MSW, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill; Rebecca J. Macy, PhD, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill; Mark W. Fraser, PhD, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill
Person-Centered Effects of the Youth Matters Program: Results From a Group-Randomized Trial
Daniel Brisson, PhD, University of Denver; Jeffrey M. Jenson, PhD, University of Denver; Kimberly A. Bender, PhD, University of Denver; Anne Williford, University of Kansas
Person-Centered Effects of the Making Choices Program: Results From a Sequential Cohort Trial
Aaron Thompson, MSW, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill; Mark W. Fraser, PhD, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill; Rebecca J. Macy, PhD, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill; Steven H. Day, MCP, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill
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