Methods: Analysis were based on waves 3-5 of the Korea Children and Youth Panel Survey, a nationally representative data of primary and secondary school aged male students in South Korea (N=1,167). The study examined males only due to their higher likelihood of becoming bully-victims than females. We employed autoregressive cross-lagged models to identify the causal association between bullying (e.g., experience of threatening, beating, robbing, and mocking) and victimization (e.g., experience of being threatened, beaten, robbed, and mocked) in longitudinal data.
Results: As hypothesized, there were reciprocal relationships between experience of bullying and victimization. The model fit indices reported indicate a good fit of the final model to the data ( = 14.01, df= 8, p<.08, CFI=0.96, TLI=0.93, RMSEA=0.03). Cross-lagged effects of current bullying on future victimization were statistically significant ( =.06, p<.05 for BulT1→VicT2; =.19; p<.05 for BulT2→VicT3). Similarly, cross-lagged effects of current victimization on future bullying were significant ( =.06, p<.05 for VicT1→BulT2; =.20, p<.05 for VicT2→BulT3). Lagged effects are also statistically significant between each time points such that current bullying caused future bullying ( =.10, p<.05 for BulT1→BulT2; =.38, p<.05 for BulT2→BulT3) current victimization led to future victimization ( =.24, p<.05 for VicT1→VicT2; =.64, p<.05 for VicT2→VicT3).
Conclusions and Implications: This study used autoregressive cross-lagged modeling to identify the causal relationship between bullying and victimization. Guided by routine activity theory and social learning theory, we identified significant cross-lagged effects between bullying and victimization among Korean male youth: Current bullies showed higher levels of being victimized at later time points and current victims reported higher levels of engaging in antisocial behavior toward their peers at later time points. The risky environment in which bullies are often situated may expose them to other potential offenders and make youth vulnerable to future victimization. Concurrently, as victims interact with perpetrating youth, they may develop positive attitudes toward violence and learn violent behavior. Findings from this study may have implications for designing policies against school bulling. Not only is short-term intervention for handling immediate psychosocial maladjustment important, but so are long-term plans that prevent youth from falling into the vicious cycle of perpetration and victimization in the system of school bullying.