Methods: The current study is a review of the empirical literature on the legal and extralegal predictors of transfer decisions. First, eight databases available through the Health Sciences and Human Services Library of the University of Maryland were selected. Search terms, e.g. “juvenile”, “waiver”, “transfer”, and “determinants”, were used with Boolean operators to find relevant studies. The primary factor for inclusion was that the study utilized empirical data, included race as a possible intendent variable or covariate to predict a waiver decision, and was published in a peer-reviewed journal. Studies predicting sentencing decisions after court transfer, having blended sentencing as the primary outcome, or using data collected outside of the United States were excluded. Finally, studies were excluded if data was collected before the U.S. Supreme Court decision Kent v. United States in 1966 because the justices outlined relevant criteria for judges to use when making waiver decisions.
Results: Eight identified studies met all inclusion and exclusion criteria. Across the studies, a significant majority of transferred youth were racial minorities. One study was unable to include race as a predictor in the model due to the homogeneity of the sample. Studies using multivariate analyses (N=4) all found that the juvenile’s race was insignificant as a predictor in the model. Studies relying upon descriptive statistics (N=3) found large disparities in transfer rates between African-American and White youth.
Conclusions and Implications: The identified studies do not suggest judges explicitly consider a juvenile’s race when making waiver decisions. Together the multivariate and descriptive analyses indicate race disparities occur indirectly through other mechanisms. Future research should consider the potential for disparities occurring earlier in the justice process. The findings might also suggest race has less of an effect on outcomes when charges are considered serious, as is the case for youth considered for transfer. Moving forward, interactive effects of race with victim characteristics, region, and offense type (e.g., drug-related or violent) should be considered.