Methods: The current study used baseline and 18-month follow-up data from 995 youth who participated in the National Survey of Child and Adolescent Well-Being (NSCAW II)—a nationally representative study of children and families investigated by a child welfare agency conducted from 2008 to 2011. A cross-lagged path model was used for the analysis of the relationships between suicidal ideation and social connectedness over time. A multi-group path analysis was also conducted to examine whether gender moderated the main effects from Time 1 to Time 2 variables. A wide range of sociodemographic and mental health variables (e.g., PTSD; depression; substance use) were controlled for in the analysis.
Results: Consistent with our hypotheses, the path analysis found significant main effects of suicidal ideation at Time 1 on peer connectedness (β= -.17, p<.01) and caregiver connectedness (β= -.12, p<.05) at Time 2. There was no main effect of suicidal ideation at Time 1 on school connectedness at Time 2 (β= -.05, ns). Contrary to traditional assumptions, there was no main effect of any of the connectedness variables at Time 1 on suicidal ideation at Time 2. The multi-group path analyses did not reveal any moderating effect of gender on the relationships between suicidal ideation and connectedness variables.
Conclusions/Implications: Screening child-welfare-engaged youth for suicidal ideation is important for managing immediate risk but our findings suggest that such ideation also foreshadows disconnectedness from their primary caregiver and peers in the future. Child welfare practitioners (like all clinical practitioners) who work with suicidal youth are naturally most concerned about preventing suicidal behavior but our results point to the relevance of conducting assessments and designing pilot programming that targets caregiver and peer connectedness in the aftermath of suicidal crises. For example, there are a great many stigma-reduction approaches that can be adapted to the child welfare context to target suicide-related stigma. The value in doing so lies beyond suicide prevention and extends to the robust body of evidence showing that social connectedness rivals other social determinants in impacting future health and premature mortality.